Florida's schedule outlook week-to-week

[Mark Wheeler]

We'll chart Florida's schedule outlook on a week-to-week basis by putting each opponent into one of five categories. The Prediction is the best-case scenario, the worst-case scenario, and the likely scenario.

WEEK​	DECIDED FAVORITE​	FAVORITE​	TOSS-UP​	UNDERDOG​	DECIDED UNDERDOG​	PREDICTION BCS-WCS-LS​
Preseason​	FAU Campbell Vanderbilt​	South Carolina @Kentucky @Florida State​	@Auburn @Missouri​	Ole Miss Oklahoma​	@Texas @Georgia​	9-3 / 5-7 / 8-4​
After Week 1​	Campbell Vanderbilt​	South Carolina @Kentucky @Florida State​	@Auburn @Missouri​	Ole Miss Oklahoma​	@Texas @Georgia​	9-3 / 5-7 / 8-4​
After Week 2​	Vanderbilt​	South Carolina @Kentucky @Florida State​	@Auburn @Missouri Oklahoma​	Ole Miss​	@Texas @Georgia​	10-2 / 5-7 / 8-4​
After Week 3​	South Carolina Vanderbilt @Florida State​	@Missouri Oklahoma​	Ole Miss @Kentucky​	None​	@Texas @Georgia​	12-0 / 6-6 / 9-3​
After Week 4​	South Carolina Oklahoma Vanderbilt @Florida State​	@Missouri @Kentucky​	None​	@Texas @Georgia​	None​	12-0 / 8-4 / 10-2​
After Week 5​	South Carolina Vanderbilt​	Oklahoma @Florida State​	@Kentucky​	None​	@Texas @Georgia​	10-2 / 6-6 / 8-4​
After Week 6​	Vanderbilt​	@Florida State​	Oklahoma @Kentucky​	None​	@Texas @Georgia​	8-4 / 5-7 / 7-5​

 

[Mark Wheeler]

Nothing changed as far as based on what I saw this past week.

 

[Mark Wheeler]

Just one change this week, moving Oklahoma from being the favorite to the game being a toss-up.

Because of that, the BCS goes to 10-2, but the most realistic outcome is still 8-4.

 

[Mark Wheeler]

There's a lot of movement this week:

I would think that Florida will be a big favorite over South Carolina and Florida State.

Missouri and Oklahoma go from a toss-up to UF being the favorite.

Ole Miss goes from being the favorite to being a toss-up.

In the opposite direction, Kentucky on the road goes from UF being the favorite to being a toss-up.

The rest stays the same as far as team by team.

With how impressive the offense was on Saturday, UF can clearly play with anyone. That means that 12-0, though not likely, isn't out of the question.

 

[Mark Wheeler]

Going into the season, I thought that UF would likely go 8-4 this season. After this weekend, that is probably the worst-case scenario, and the most likely is probably a 10-2 record, as I've moved a couple of games in the direction of the Gators. Now, that doesn't mean that I believe they will win, but UF's chances certainly look a hell of a lot better.

 

[Termigator]

I am worried about this week at Mizzou. I believe we will win but it will be closer than anyone thinks. For some reason we have struggled out there in the past.

 

[Mark Wheeler]

Missouri showed the rest of the opponents on the schedule the game plan for slowing down Florida's offense. That moves the game in the direction in the favor of five of the seven remaining foes. FSU and Oklahoma move from UF being a decided favorite, to just the favorite. Kentucky moving to the toss up category. Georgia and Texas are again decided favorites.

 

[Mark Wheeler]

The movement this week is moving Oklahoma from UF being favored to a toss-up. The way their defense is playing, I was tempted to move the Sooners to being the slight favorite.